[ESIP-all] ESIP Disaster Response cluster

Mon Feb 3 15:07:06 EST 2014

Yes, our model showed that could have sparked a major disaster.  We are working on a paper on it.
We have our own short-term space weather forecasting system (with a free alert emails)
but we disclaim "for education only".
We have provided our model to NOAA for evaluation and to install into their "blessed" system.  
If you want on our "spacalrt" list, just let me know...

Pretty quiet right now but the ginormous spot has just rotated into view again...
http://mms.rice.edu/realtime/forecast.html

On Feb 3, 2014, at 12:51 PM, Eric Kihn wrote:

> All,
> 
> Just to add a little to the conversation.
> 
> http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2013/12/10/Scientist-Near-miss-solar-storm-should-be-a-wake-up-call/UPI-60331386713722/
> 
> Dan Baker claims we had a "near" miss last year that would have been
> larger than Carrington.
> 
> 
>> Hi all -
>> 
>> Large magnetic disturbances should be a real concern. These are called "Carrington Events" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_1859). It's hard to predict when one will occur since it depends on the size of events on the Sun and the relative location of the Earth. Recently we've had some "near misses" where an event occurred on the Sun, but the geometry meant it missed the Earth. If a Carrington Event were to occur today it could take out everything from our communication satellites to the computers in our cars. In general, only off-line and non-active circuits would be unaffected.
>> 
>> -Todd-
>> 
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: "Richard S. Eckman (LARC-E3)" <richard.s.eckman at nasa.gov>
>> To: "Barry H Weiss (JPL-398B)[Jet Propulsion Laboratory]" <barry.h.weiss at jpl.nasa.gov>
>> Cc: "Emily S Law (JPL-3980)[Jet Propulsion Laboratory]" <emily.s.law at jpl.nasa.gov>, esip-all at lists.esipfed.org
>> Sent: Monday, February 3, 2014 3:55:33 AM
>> Subject: Re: [ESIP-all] ESIP Disaster Response cluster
>> 
>> This is a topic that NASA Applied Sciences has supported in past years through improved models of the magnetosphere and ionosphere to the surface to assess the propagation of currents that could produce the GICs that can damage the grid. AMS also covers this almost annually in its space weather sessions at various meetings. And OSTP publicly recognized this as a serious concern last year. So it's an interesting topic that could potentially fit under disaster response. 
>> 
>> Richard
>> 
>> Sent from my iPhone
>> 
>>> On Feb 2, 2014, at 23:54, "Weiss, Barry H (398B)" <barry.h.weiss at jpl.nasa.gov> wrote:
>>> 
>>> All, 
>>> 
>>> I just read an interesting article in the Los Angeles times about the
>>> possibility of serious solar storms that could cause long term blackouts.
>>> Would that be included in this category?
>>> 
>>> Barry
>>> 
>>>> On 1/30/14 5:52 PM, "Joan Aron" <joanaron at ymail.com> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> The Global Platform for Disaster Reduction is a good reference point.
>>>> The reports refer to natural hazards but do not provide specific lists.
>>>> However, the description of the PREVIEW Global Risk Data Platform on
>>>> global risk from natural hazards provides a list.
>>>> 
>>>> http://www.preventionweb.net/globalplatform/2013/
>>>> 
>>>> The Global Platform for Disaster Reduction was established in 2007 as a
>>>> biennial forum for information exchange, discussion of latest development
>>>> and knowledge and partnership building across sectors, with the goal to
>>>> improve implementation of disaster risk reduction through better
>>>> communication and coordination amongst stakeholders. The Global Platform
>>>> is organized by UNISDR, the UN's office for disaster risk reduction and
>>>> secretariat of the International Strategy for Disaster Reduction.
>>>> 
>>>> http://www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2013/en/home/data-platform.
>>>> html
>>>> 
>>>> http://preview.grid.unep.ch/
>>>> 
>>>> The PREVIEW Global Risk Data Platform is a multiple agencies effort to
>>>> share spatial data information on global risk from natural hazards. Users
>>>> can visualise, download or extract data on past hazardous events, human &
>>>> economical hazard exposure and risk from natural hazards. It covers
>>>> tropical cyclones and related storm surges, drought, earthquakes, biomass
>>>> fires, floods, landslides, tsunamis and volcanic eruptions. The
>>>> collection of data is made via a wide range of partners (see About for
>>>> data sources). This was developed as a support to the Global Assessment
>>>> Report on Disaster Risk Reduction (GAR) and replace the previous PREVIEW
>>>> platform already available since 2000. Many improvements were made on the
>>>> data and on the application.
>>>> 
>>>> Joan Aron
>>>> 
>>>> --------------------------------------------
>>>> On Thu, 1/30/14, Helen Wood - NOAA Affiliate <helen.wood at noaa.gov> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> Subject: Re: [ESIP-all] ESIP Disaster Response cluster
>>>> To: "Fontaine, Kathleen S. (GSFC-6102)" <kathleen.s.fontaine at nasa.gov>
>>>> Cc: "Law, Emily S (JPL-3980)[Jet Propulsion Laboratory]"
>>>> <emily.s.law at jpl.nasa.gov>, "esip-all at lists.esipfed.org"
>>>> <esip-all at lists.esipfed.org>
>>>> Date: Thursday, January 30, 2014, 7:54 PM
>>>> 
>>>> KathySince the Disaster Charter's
>>>> definitions are particular to their specific mission, it
>>>> might be better to consider definitions from e.g. The UN
>>>> ISDR. 
>>>> Helpfully, Helen
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> On Thursday, January 30, 2014, Fontaine, Kathleen S.
>>>> (GSFC-6102) <kathleen.s.fontaine at nasa.gov>
>>>> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> All - 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> You should look at basing your disaster definitions in
>>>> part on the Disaster Charter, and then go from there.  Each
>>>> signatory nation has an expectation of that definition for
>>>> the scale of disaster that would invoke the Charter.  After
>>>> that, of course, there
>>>> are more localized disasters inherent to the region.
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> I'm sure that CEOS has incorporated those
>>>> definitions, but I'd be more comfortable using an agreed
>>>> set so it's easier to discuss ESIP's added value to
>>>> the discussion.
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Cheers
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Kathy
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Sent from my iPhone.
>>>> Dr. Kathleen Fontaine (Kathy)
>>>> NASA GSFC
>>>> +1.301.408.8937
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> On Jan 30, 2014, at 6:46 PM, "Moe, Karen
>>>> (GSFC-4070)" <karen.moe at nasa.gov> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> That is a very good question. From an ESIP perspective
>>>> we can discuss and decide what scope makes sense  for the
>>>> new cluster. 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> From recent work with CEOS (international Committee on
>>>> Earth Observation Satellites), my colleague John Evans
>>>> created a spreadsheet to compare what events different
>>>> groups included in 'disasters'. The IFRC was most
>>>> comprehensive. CEOS is currently focusing
>>>> on floods, earthquakes and volcanoes.
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> https://www.dropbox.com/s/y30u6gvwpw0i24h/Disaster%20types%20compared%20De
>>>> c12.xls
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> -Karen
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>> From: Joan Aron <joanaron at ymail.com>
>>>> Date: Thursday, January 30, 2014 6:10 PM
>>>> To: ESIP All <esip-all at lists.esipfed.org>,
>>>> "Law, Emily S (JPL-3980)[Jet Propulsion
>>>> Laboratory]" <emily.s.law at jpl.nasa.gov>
>>>> Subject: Re: [ESIP-all] ESIP Disaster Response
>>>> cluster
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Could you explain what you are including in
>>>> "disaster"?
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> The more obvious ones are flooding and
>>>> earthquakes.  
>>>> What about hazardous air quality?
>>>> What about pandemic flu?
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> - Joan Aron
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> --------------------------------------------
>>>> On Thu, 1/30/14, Law, Emily S (3980) <emily.s.law at jpl.nasa.gov> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Subject: [ESIP-all] ESIP Disaster Response
>>>> cluster
>>>> To: "esip-all at lists.esipfed.org" <esip-all at lists.esipfed.org>
>>>> Date: Thursday, January 30, 2014, 3:46 PM
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Hi All,
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Karen and I would like to invite
>>>> you to join a new ESIP cluster "Disaster
>>>> Response", and subscribe to its mailing
>>>> list: esip-disasters at lists.esipfed.org
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Draft mission statement of this cluster:
>>>> The main
>>>> objective of the Disaster Response Cluster is to
>>>> facilitate
>>>> connections and coordinate efforts among data
>>>> providers, managers and developers of disaster
>>>> response
>>>> systems and tools, and end-user communities
>>>> within
>>>> ESIP. 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Examples of
>>>> topics that the cluster will address include:
>>>> 
>>>> Identify
>>>> disaster response full-cycleMap
>>>> dataset types to disaster types by leveraging
>>>> existing
>>>> effortsAssess and prioritize use cases and
>>>> user needs Assess
>>>> existing capabilities and processesAssess
>>>> common architecture patterns to disaster
>>>> responseDevelop
>>>> webinars or other outreach plans to raise awareness
>>>> with
>>>> end-users 
>>>> If you
>>>> are interested, please participate in the
>>>> following
>>>> Doodle Poll "ESIP Disaster Response
>>>> Monthly
>>>> Telecon" and cast your votes by the end of Feb 5,
>>>> next
>>>> Wednesday.
>>>> 
>>>> http://doodle.com/nu5z4wcnm6nskk28
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> We'd like to kick off our
>>>> first teleon in either 2nd or 3rd week of February
>>>> to
>>>> finalize the cluster's mission statement, discuss
>>>> goals
>>>> and potential activities the group plan to accomplish
>>>> by
>>>> Summer ESIP. Below is a list of possible
>>>> activities that we can touch on.
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Gather insights from organizations addressing
>>>> disasters
>>>> like GEOSS, USGEO, OSTP, CEOS, OGC (complement not
>>>> duplicate
>>>> effort)Collect information from
>>>> E
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> -- 
>>>> ___________________________________________________Helen
>>>> M. WoodConsultant301-518-2084
>>>> mobile301-571-8256 faxhelen.wood at noaa.gov
>>>> helenmwood at gmail.com
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> -----Inline Attachment Follows-----
>>>> 
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> 
> 
> -- 
> Eric A. Kihn, Ph.D.       Acting Director NOAA/NGDC
> e-mail: Eric.A.Kihn at noaa.gov
> Voice: 303 497-6346       Fax:   303 497-6513
> Science is everything we understand well enough
> to explain to a computer. Art is everything else.
> - David Knuth
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